Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.955939 1.169990 1.399213 1.660809 1.949048 2.255091 2.602777
2024-10-20 0.633605 0.910914 1.233412 1.626907 2.085645 2.596150 3.200137
2024-10-27 0.541688 0.864518 1.259518 1.760081 2.361333 3.046375 3.872748
2024-11-03 0.464547 0.820141 1.276234 1.873689 2.609492 3.463947 4.510556
2024-11-10 0.407332 0.788498 1.298068 1.984280 2.846543 3.862858 5.122361
2024-11-17 0.360959 0.763101 1.321692 2.092492 3.077831 4.253747 5.725110
2024-11-24 0.302829 0.709903 1.300342 2.136822 3.225538 4.541500 6.204140
2024-12-01 0.243902 0.644553 1.254281 2.142445 3.319911 4.761437 6.600210
2024-12-08 0.179019 0.555294 1.163871 2.080302 3.321324 4.862674 6.849716
2024-12-15 0.127660 0.476810 1.080069 2.019647 3.318694 4.954392 7.084103
2024-12-22 0.092197 0.418773 1.020717 1.987654 3.349261 5.084164 7.362193
2024-12-29 0.073024 0.390742 1.006709 2.018986 3.463287 5.318959 7.769911
2025-01-05 0.051172 0.349887 0.970914 2.022324 3.547661 5.527925 8.162438
2025-01-12 0.031212 0.301975 0.916802 1.994675 3.588199 5.681005 8.487424
2025-01-19 0.029755 0.314484 0.974490 2.140584 3.871623 6.150670 9.212001
2025-01-26 0.027025 0.321097 1.020874 2.269247 4.131840 6.591561 9.902423
2025-02-02 0.024187 0.325942 1.063575 2.392292 4.384746 7.023870 10.583440
2025-02-09 0.021496 0.330084 1.104690 2.513089 4.635177 7.454021 11.263303
2025-02-16 0.015311 0.313132 1.101868 2.562351 4.783323 7.749616 11.772831
2025-02-23 0.008859 0.285477 1.073837 2.568629 4.868626 7.961549 12.175693
2025-03-02 0.002843 0.240608 1.002693 2.499464 4.841842 8.022502 12.384079
2025-03-09 0.000335 0.200925 0.935472 2.431880 4.813740 8.079040 12.584695
2025-03-16 NaN 0.172693 0.889221 2.396195 4.829400 8.191590 12.854736